The World in 2030: Our long-term projections for 75 countries

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We have refreshed our long-term forecasting framework to make model projections for 75 developed, emerging and frontier economies to assess growth potential and changes in global rankings by 2030.

Our model focuses on catch-up potential, population (size and shape), human capital (education and healthcare), politics, openness and technology. Better-educated workers are more likely to be productive; poorer countries will have room to catch up by simply adopting best practice and technology available elsewhere; and those with strong governance are more likely to facilitate investment and growth.