GTFS: Global Trends and Future Scenarios Index

Nuclear Deterrence in 2030


This study is a prospective analysis of the long-term future of nuclear weapons, and particularly the future of French nuclear deterrence after 2015. The selected time period is 2025-2030. The principal objective is to reflect on what the “nuclear world” might look like during the first part of the XXIst century, beyond the modernization decisions already planned or envisaged, and to draw conclusions for the future of the French deterrent.

This study has been sponsored by the French Atomic Energy Commission (CEA). It is the sole responsibility of the Fondation pour la recherche stratégique, Paris (FRS). It does not reflect the views of the CEA or any governmental body.