GTFS: Global Trends and Future Scenarios Index

Unexpected, Unforeseen, Unplanned Scenarios of International Foreign and Security Policy


Editor’s abstract (excerpt)

There is little politicians and administrations fear more than being taken off guard and ill-prepared by a major incident. However inadequate the planning and instruments, decisions must be made and action taken. As such, unexpected events expose decision-makers to the risks of portentous decisions arrived at under conditions of great uncertainty, and usually also in great haste. Space for reflection, analysis and consultation is scarce.

Lars Brozus